[syndicated profile] political_betting_feed

Posted by Mike Smithson

The latest polling has caused a big sell of CON seats on the spread markets. With
Spreadex it is now 373-379 seats. At the weekend the buy level was more than 400.

SportingIndex has it slightly higher at 373-379 which means that my sell bet at 393 placed on Saturday night is now showing a nice profit.

What’s nice about this form of betting is that you can take and pocket your profits well before the election has taken place.

The risk at the moment is that other pollsters might show a larger CON lead which could cause the price to move up.

Mike Smithson


Fic updates

26 May 2017 14:46
seren_ccd: (Always time for a cuppa)
[personal profile] seren_ccd
Hullo! I have been TERRIBLE about linking to fic updates, so the following are things I've written this year.

Black Sails:

a tide of hope, Abigail Ashe/Billy Bones, 9/?, WIP

Summary: Abigail Ashe awakens to find herself shipwrecked on an island. However, she is not alone. Abigail Ashe/Billy Bones, post season 3.

he's good and he's bad (and he's all that i got), Abigail Ashe/Billy Bones, 5/5, Complete

Summary: There wasn’t anyone left. Not really. Some had fallen in battle, some had just…disappeared. At least the sea remained. Waves still crashed on the shore and birds still flew in the sky and Billy Bones tries to move on. Eventual Billy Bones/Abigail Ashe, but everyone shows up eventually.

The Vampire Diaries:

impossible, extraordinary things
, Caroline/Klaus, 1/1, Complete

Summary:"Anyway! Selkies. They’re real and they’re scrappers, can I just say. I mean, you need someone who’s not afraid to play dirty and pull hair, they’re your girls. And guys. They’re a few guys, but mostly ladies. We bonded," Caroline says over the phone.

"I can only imagine,” Klaus says picturing her running through crashing waves, her hair a golden fan around her face as she laughs. He imagines that her skin tastes of salt and he burns.

Caroline sees the world and Klaus definitely doesn't wait for the phone to ring. Future fic, Klaus/Caroline

The 100:

i just wanna be (the sum of your broken parts), Clarke/Bellamy, 1/1, Complete

Summary: 'Bellamy smells nice,' is the second thought that comes into Clarke's head.

Her third thought is 'How can he smell so nice? He hasn't properly bathed in at least two weeks, how can he smell good?'

Naturally, her very first thought is 'Oh, crap, did they see us?' Future fic, Bellarke.

Happy Friday, everyone!
miss_s_b: (Default)
[personal profile] miss_s_b posting in [community profile] gallifrey_times
Welcome to the Friday the 26th of May edition of Gallifrey Times!

Editor's Note: I had a horrific migraine yesterday, so you're getting a bumper edition today.

- Discussion, Reactions, Reviews and News -
- Podcasts and Audiovisual Discussion -
- Challenges, Prompts and Announcements relating to Fanworks -
- Fanworks -

Fic: (rating; characters/pairings)
GIFsets, Caps, and Photosets:
Podfic and Fanvids


GT aims to cover Doctor Who Universe news and fan activity on Dreamwidth and beyond. If you'd like to be added to our watch list, please leave a comment here. Questions? If you can't find the answer on our profile, you can contact the editors by commenting on any edition of the newsletter.
aldersprig: (AylaSmile)
[personal profile] aldersprig


This is technically a bonus, since we’ve slipped below the $70 donation milestone, but I have faith that we’ll get back up there soon enough. :-)
📖
The announcements and the invitations had been sent out:

On May 4, 1785, Louisa sh’Venti Horribiles, daughter of Isabella Venti Horribiles and Perry Longa Nocte, has come to her Change into her adult form.

Free for all Patrons!



I don’t know when this originally posted, since it was up as a voting incentive and then taken down, but it says “Last Modified June 3, 2010."
🙛🙙
Luca was standing outside of a dance hall in Boston when a gorgeous blonde woman threw herself at him. Bastard or no, he was a gentleman, so he caught her, one hand on her slim waist, the other on her shoulders. Her hair fell forward into his face, filling his nose with an intoxicating scent that no perfume could duplicate.

Read On!




Originally posted February 18, 2012.
🌹

Cole woke.

He generally considered this a good start to the day, getting things off on an immediate positive note.

Read On!

Music meme: day 1 of 30

26 May 2017 13:01
liv: alternating calligraphed and modern letters (letters)
[personal profile] liv
[personal profile] ghoti_mhic_uait and a bunch of other people are doing a 30 day music meme, and it's really interesting to see people's choices! In some ways music isn't a big part of my life, so I might struggle with this one, and anyway I'm not going to commit to posting every day for 30 consecutive days, but I thought I'd give it a go.

The first is A song you like with a colour in the title, so I went for White winter hymnal by Fleet Foxes. I don't always love the kind of very blurry musical style that Fleet Foxes go for, but I got really fond of this song a few years back and it's one that always raises a smile when it comes on shuffle.

People are generally linking to YouTube, and I'd never actually seen the accompanying video for this one before. It's kind of a cool claymation thing, so I'm glad I searched it up.

Embedded video )
andrewducker: (Default)
[personal profile] andrewducker

Why now?

26 May 2017 05:00
quirkytizzy: (Default)
[personal profile] quirkytizzy
The question I've been asking myself for the last month is this: Why NOW? Why now, after 20 years of being self-harm free, am I fighting self-harm urges again? Why now, after 20 years of unbroken skin, have I returned to one of the nastiest, most vicious forms of coping that I had ever taken up?

A therapist had a surprisingly simple - and illuminating - answer. I began to cut at 13 years old when I was betrayed by the abuse of my mother and stepfather. I have now been betrayed again by my body. They are different circumstances, but the mind has its own memory - and it remembers what used to work.

The keyword was "betrayal", defined in part as "to be evidenced of."

After the abuse at home, I worked for decades to make sure my core was strong enough to never be betrayed again. I emptied out entire sections of myself, shoved re-bar in them, and poured concrete into the holes. Enough that even if the concrete got chipped or dented, the foundation WOULD HOLD.

Years passed, as they do. Betrayal turned into a stinging wound, then just a scar, and eventually it simply became a part of my history. The concrete, the metal rods, were still there, but I didn't need them and I went on living my life. There was nothing new to be entered into court, to be laid on the witness table, or to show evidence of. Betrayal was no longer a thought, theme, or fear.

Then at 35, the silent prophecy that I was completely unaware I had been born with surfaced and everything changed. But this time the betrayal came from something internal. Suddenly I was the problem. Suddenly the concrete core could not sustain me, because it itself WAS a part of me.

It became evidenced - overnight - that the very body I inhabited was greatly flawed and had spent decades lying to me. My mind remembers this feeling very clearly. It is called "betrayal" and it remembered what used to work.

Betrayal was dealt with by cutting. That's what it remembered. That's what it's trying to do.

You are right, Harvey, in that suicide attempts are often anger turned inward. A loss of control when you realize that you've actually lost control. A fury about that whittles you down to a single, dead-set decision cast in a single, dead-set breath.

As I cut when betrayed before, when trying to survive the anger at my family, I cut in trying to survive the anger at my disease. It is no wonder I would want to lash out at my body. To punish it, to express the anger, to try and find some desperate control over my skin where I cannot control my DNA.

I often bemoan the famous phrase "Knowing is half the battle." Thanks, GI Joe, but I'm already pretty good at the knowing parts. It's the fighting parts of the battle I have trouble with.

But knowing this...having some kind of answer, a new light shone on my own motivations...it does help.

It helps immensely.
miss_s_b: (Mood: Surviving)
[personal profile] miss_s_b posting in [community profile] weekly_food_challenge
This week has been a bit rough in a lot of ways* - which is part of the reason for the challenge being late - so I think we all need a treat. You can interpret that word "treat" how you like: tell me your indulgences, your comfort foods, your foods you turn to when everything is awful.

And then we can all feel a bit better reading about them :)



* this is British for "a city near me had lots of its children blown up, politics remains screamingly frustrating, and I have had a horrific migraine", if you're wondering.

Migration!

26 May 2017 00:55
finch: (Default)
[personal profile] finch posting in [community profile] bujo
I like to change books at month-end when I know I'm not going to get through the next month in my current book. I pretty reliably can fit three months in a pocket Leuchtturm.

Since I'm thinking about migration, I'm curious if other people have a process for it, and how you decide what to bring over?

Part of my process is the "closing up" of the old book by typing up anything that's left to need moved to Evernote, like story or poem notes, blog post ideas, that kind of thing. I gather up all of my outstanding to-dos for the first Master List in the new journal, and then move over the current month's bill calendar. If I have any ongoing projects, I might copy over relevant information, but very little actually moves.

I get the impression from youtube that this is a fairly basic process compared to how some people handle it. ;) What are your thoughts?
[syndicated profile] bbc_technology_news_feed
The PM says the fight against so-called Islamic State is "moving from the battlefield to the internet".
nanila: YAY (me: abby)
[personal profile] nanila posting in [community profile] awesomeers
It's challenge time!

Comment with Just One Thing you've accomplished in the last 24 hours or so. It doesn't have to be a hard thing, or even a thing that you think is particularly awesome. Just a thing that you did.

Feel free to share more than one thing if you're feeling particularly accomplished!

Extra credit: find someone in the comments and give them props for what they achieved!

Nothing is too big, too small, too strange or too cryptic. And in case you'd rather do this in private, anonymous comments are screened. I will only unscreen if you ask me to.

Go!
ironymaiden: (siff)
[personal profile] ironymaiden
Vampire Cleanup Department sheer pleasure. Hong Kong comedy adventure about a young man who joins a special branch of the sanitation department. it's sentimental and charming, and the hopping vampires are at turns silly and scary. recommended.

March 2017

S M T W T F S
   1234
567891011
12131415161718
192021222324 25
262728293031 

Most Popular Tags

Style Credit

Expand Cut Tags

No cut tags
Page generated 26 May 2017 15:03
Powered by Dreamwidth Studios